Predicting rugby outcomes

The Blues and Crusaders may not be making the early running, but give them time …

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23rd March, 2012

Doctors bury their mistakes; pundits carry on regardless, as if they never said any such thing. And they usually get away with it because, as old hacks used to delight in telling shiny-faced cub reporters, “today’s front page is tomorrow’s fish and chip paper”. Predicting outcomes is what sportswriters do, but they are seldom called to account. By the time their predictions have proved to be spectacularly wrong, how many readers remember the tablethumping certainty that the Wallabies would win the Rugby World Cup or the Warriors would have won several grand finals by now? I ...

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